Modal shift potential of countries on the New Silk Road

Published on www.railfreight.com, July 2020

Panteia has developed a method for calculating the modal shift potential of traffic flows between the Netherlands and Belarus, Russia and Kazakhstan. The conclusion is that in theory, 44,500 TEUs of cargo could be shifted to rail.

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The study concludes that a total of 44,500 TEUs could be shifted to rail (based on 2017 data). According to Panteia’s Adriaan Roest-Crollius, the total potential modal shift from the Netherlands for Russia amounts to 37,500 TEU. The potential modal shift for trade with Belarus and Kazakhstan is lower, respectively 5,700 TEUs and 1,200 TEUs.

Panteia: www.panteia.nl